Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.020174 0.021792 0.023479 0.025368 0.027428 0.029607 0.032088
2025-10-12 0.017576 0.019907 0.022467 0.025490 0.028972 0.032863 0.037555
2025-10-19 0.015829 0.018570 0.021697 0.025541 0.030156 0.035537 0.042316
2025-10-26 0.014497 0.017495 0.021024 0.025505 0.031071 0.037792 0.046576
2025-11-02 0.013445 0.016621 0.020461 0.025475 0.031889 0.039872 0.050646
2025-11-09 0.012384 0.015631 0.019650 0.025026 0.032082 0.041103 0.053629
2025-11-16 0.011477 0.014759 0.018907 0.024577 0.032196 0.042177 0.056403
2025-11-23 0.010835 0.014178 0.018485 0.024495 0.032751 0.043819 0.059990
2025-11-30 0.010224 0.013594 0.018013 0.024297 0.033108 0.045175 0.063219
2025-12-07 0.009702 0.013094 0.017616 0.024164 0.033522 0.046603 0.066599
2025-12-14 0.009208 0.012600 0.017196 0.023961 0.033808 0.047838 0.069739
2025-12-21 0.008827 0.012242 0.016939 0.023965 0.034373 0.049483 0.073560
2025-12-28 0.008405 0.011820 0.016590 0.023848 0.034800 0.051014 0.077415
2026-01-04 0.008083 0.011526 0.016412 0.023973 0.035596 0.053150 0.082368
2026-01-11 0.007765 0.011220 0.016197 0.024023 0.036270 0.055123 0.087176
2026-01-18 0.007450 0.010900 0.015940 0.023990 0.036802 0.056889 0.091745
2026-01-25 0.007160 0.010602 0.015700 0.023962 0.037329 0.058662 0.096423
2026-02-01 0.006793 0.010168 0.015229 0.023542 0.037194 0.059339 0.099257
2026-02-08 0.006452 0.009759 0.014775 0.023122 0.037030 0.059945 0.101989
2026-02-15 0.006215 0.009500 0.014543 0.023046 0.037425 0.061500 0.106483
2026-02-22 0.005968 0.009214 0.014255 0.022861 0.037619 0.062712 0.110425
2026-03-01 0.005750 0.008965 0.014012 0.022736 0.037905 0.064091 0.114748
2026-03-08 0.005532 0.008705 0.013740 0.022547 0.038065 0.065245 0.118713